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Palo Alto Networks, software industry to undergo AI ‘transformation’ over next 12 months, CEO says

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Palo Alto Networks Inc. shares rose in the extended session Tuesday after the cybersecurity company kept the beat-and-raise earnings reports coming as it sees itself and the software industry undergo an AI transformation over the next year.

Palo Alto Networks PANW, -1.23% forecast fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.26 to $1.30 a share on revenue of $1.94 billion to $1.97 billion and billings of $3.15 billion to $3.2 billion. For the year, the company expects $4.25 to $4.29 a share on revenue of $6.88 billion to $6.91 billion on billings of $9.18 billion to $9.23 billion.

Analysts estimate $1.20 a share on revenue of $1.95 billion and billings of $3.16 billion for the fourth quarter, and were projecting $4.02 a share on revenue of $6.88 billion and billings of $9.16 billion for the year. The company defines billings as โ€œtotal revenue plus the change in total deferred revenue, net of acquired deferred revenue, during the period,โ€ and is a metric used to account for subscriptions.

For the full year, executives had previously predicted $3.97 to $4.03 a share on revenue of $6.85 billion to $6.91 billion and billings of $9.1 billion to $9.2 billion.

Having gone on a break from a multiyear M&A spree, Chief Executive and Chairman Nikesh Arora stressed to analysts on the call that products like its Palo Alto Networksโ€™ Cortex XSIAM AI-driven security platform was a โ€œhomegrownโ€ effort, and that even though the company had $2 billion in cash, the market was too expensive from an M&A standpoint.

Read: Bill Gates lays AI tombstone on Amazon and Google

โ€œIโ€™d like to bust the myth of the notion that weโ€™ve grown our innovation through M&A, because pretty much the entire XSIAM product that weโ€™ve built โ€” which is now the fastest platform going forward โ€” is homegrown,โ€ Arora said.

Most recently, Palo Alto Networks acquired application and software supply-chain security company Cider Security for about $195 million in cash, following a multiyear M&A spree that paused in August 2021. Palo Alto Networks had acquired a habit of announcing a new deal every quarter, having acquired 14 companies in about three-and-a-half years.

โ€œI feel very comfortable with the amount of cash we have on our balance sheet and I believe it is our job to keep our heads down, and keep executing because itโ€™s a tough market,โ€ Arora said. โ€œI think the opportunities from AI have not been fully comprehended by most enterprise businesses.โ€

Read: Microsoftโ€™s Nadella: AI is taking the computer age from โ€˜the bicycle to the steam engineโ€™

โ€œI think we are going to undergo a transformation for Palo Alto Networks as well as generally an enterprise software industry over the next 12-24 months as we embrace generative AI, I think thatโ€™s the real opportunity and challenge in front of us and I think people out there will get it wrong, and hopefully weโ€™re on the right side of history,โ€ Arora said.

The CEO said the company has been studying โ€œthe adverse impact that generative AI could have in terms of ads using generative AI to build new malware, to try and attack our customers, and thereโ€™s a lot of work weโ€™re doing as well to make sure we are able to protect our customers against any such activity that is conducted using generative AI.โ€

Read: Nvidiaโ€™s stock has more than doubled this year. Can earnings justify the AI hype?

Nvidia Corp. NVDA, -1.57%, which also has a huge stake in AI, reports results after the bell Wednesday.

Palo Alto Networks reported fiscal third-quarter net income of $107.8 million, or 31 cents a share, versus a loss of $73.2 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were $1.10 a share, compared with 60 cents a share in the year-ago period.

Revenue rose to $1.72 billion from $1.39 billion in the year-ago quarter, while billings rose 26% to $2.3 billion. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 93 cents a share on revenue of $1.72 billion and billings of $2.23 billion.

Shares rose more than 4% after hours, following a 1.2% decline in the regular session to close at $189.74.

From November 2022: Palo Alto Networks one of 2022โ€™s best software stocks after another beat-and-raise quarter

Palo Alto Networks shares are up 36% year to date. In comparison, the ETFMG Prime Cyber Security ETFย  HACK, -1.48% is up 7%, the First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF CIBR, -1.18% is up 8%, the S&P 500 index SPX, -1.12% ย is up 8%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Indexย  COMP, -1.26% ย is up 20%.

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